Saturday brings a quietly crucial game in the ACC.
Maryland's path to six victories gets quite a bit less flexible if it doesn't poach a win in Chestnut Hill. Florida State and Miami could be especially unpleasant matchups, and N.C. State will be a handful as well. Maryland will probably go into games against Virginia and Wake Forest as a favorite, but stumble there ... well, that wouldn't bode well.
Meanwhile, Boston College has lost four straight, still has to deal with Clemson and hasn't shown an inclination to do much of anything on offense. The Eagles, too, would see their margin of error for the remainder of the season erode substantially with a loss.
With that in mind, how about five game-day predictions (well, "within 24 hours of game time predictions) to consider entering the 1 p.m. kickoff.
1. Max Garcia will start at left tackle for Maryland. It's the logical move. R.J. Dill can flip back to the right side, and Garcia (a true freshman coaches believe has a substantial upside) can get to work now. If Maryland is going to use Garcia, it may as well try an immersion class. That could be painful initially, but it might be the Terps' best approach --- even as this year progresses.
2. Neither team will run for 100 yards. Boston College cracked three digits on the ground in just two of its first six games, and the Eagles are yielding only 90.3 yards rushing a game. As is often the case, Chestnut Hill is not a place where it is wise to engage in a protracted land struggle. Maybe BC's Montel Harris busts a long run or two; more likely, this game will be decided by the production and precision (or lack thereof) of the young quarterbacks both teams will start.
3. Whoever wins turnover margin will win the game. That assumes it's not a push (at which time this prediction is, as well). But the teams ranking No. 11 and No. 12 in the ACC in total offense are both opportunistic, and miscues and returns will yield a majority of the solid scoring opportunities of the day.
4. There will be punts --- at minimum another dozen. In case you didn't see enough punting in Maryland's loss to Clemson, brace yourself for more. Both teams are averaging at least seven punts in conference play, so Travis Baltz and Ryan Quigley should get plenty of face time on the game's video stream.
5. Maryland will win ... but it's a game no one will really want to remember. This has all the makings of a game where it will be difficult to segregate strong defensive play from offensive ineptitude. The pick has more to do with a complete lack of faith in Boston College's offense than anything else.
Turnovers could turn the tide for the Eagles, but it's just tough to imagine their offense rallying from a multi-possession deficit on its own. In fact, the largest deficit Boston College has erased (regardless of final outcome) is eight points, and it needed an interception return against Florida State to help pull that off.
Maryland is playing well enough against the run of late to limit Harris' damage for the most part , and that will be the crucial element in the Terps grinding out a low-scoring game. First to 20 wins --- if anyone actually manages to do that.
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